Naomi Osaka vs Yuliia Starodubtseva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In evaluating second serve efficacy over the past six months, Osaka's adeptness has been illustrated by her winning 47.56% of points on her second serve, compared to Starodubtseva's 41.22%. This statistic is particularly influential in predicting match outcomes. However, Starodubtseva shows better prowess in her return game, capturing 51.72% of her competitors' second serve points, surpassing Osaka’s 47.66%. This metric is crucial for ascertaining the potential favorite in this head-to-head matchup.

Weighing in on first serve return statistics, Starodubtseva also takes the lead by winning 33.67% of such points, while Osaka trails with 25.49%. When it comes to handling pressure, especially in scenarios involving breakpoints, Osaka is more resilient, having saved 54.46% of breakpoints, in contrast to Starodubtseva’s 44.59%. Such insights are particularly beneficial for in-game betting dynamics.

Assessing overall performance, Osaka’s recent record reveals a win rate of 58.97% from matches played over the last year (23 wins and 16 losses), slightly outperforming Starodubtseva's 54.84% (34 wins and 28 losses). Additionally, surface preference plays a critical role; Osaka thrives on hard courts, boasting a 66% career win rate, whereas Starodubtseva excels on grass with a 71% win rate. Hard courts stand as Osaka’s forte, whereas grass courts align with Starodubtseva's strengths.

When delving into the level of competition faced, Osaka has frequently competed in the Masters series in the past year, achieving a 61.11% win rate. Starodubtseva, on the other hand, has participated mainly in the Main tour, with a win rate of 35.29%. The gap in the average rank of opponents faced is stark, with Osaka’s adversaries averaging a rank of 67.44, substantially higher than Starodubtseva’s average opponent rank of 168.89.

If the match extends to a deciding set, data over the last year indicates a slight edge to Osaka, with a 54% success rate in such scenarios compared to Starodubtseva’s 53%. As for breakpoint conversion, Starodubtseva converts 37.58% of opportunities, marginally exceeding Osaka's 35.94%. Such figures offer valuable insights for real-time betting.

Considering the comprehensive analysis of recent performance, surface proficiency, and opponent quality, Osaka appears to hold the upper hand statistically. Therefore, based on these metrics, Osaka is likely to be the more probable victor in their upcoming engagement.